Nothing could be more foolish than betting on the Nobel. At least with the National Book Award and the Man Booker you have a shortlist to choose from. With the Nobel, it’s anyone’s guess. Besides, I’ve lost plenty of money betting on the stock market, which these days might be even more foolish than betting on an award for literature than no one successfully predicts.
But still: guesses are free, and involve only pride. So here’s mine: Haruki Murakami. Formerly 10/1 odds, now 7/1 odds. We’ll find out on Thursday.
